I know I've seen this on several websites today. What was everyone expecting? The only think I can think of is the old trope that Republican administrations are better for the economy. I have coworkers who were basically expecting miracles once Trump got into office. Things are probably gonna be bad.
Inflation has generally dropped significantly in most developed countries and is mostly tied to post-pandemic effects and the war in Ukraine. So if you ignore the debilitating influence of Trump, you would expect inflation to continue to drop in the US too.
The 3% rate isn't actually all that high currently, but you'd expect it to trend up again due to tariffs, both from the actual effects and as an excuse for companies to raise prices.
Or Trump could cause a serious recession/depression, in which case inflation will drop (but you won't be able to buy anything anyway, since you'll have lost your job).
I was thinking exactly the same thing... maybe with the exception of the 30% that actually believed his bullshit enough to vote for him... I've been bracing for the huge inflation bolster since he was elected...
Hell trump and musk have kind of warned us, inflation is going to get worse (and lied about it being so it can get better... ignoring the general fact that inflation is a one way street, you can't fix it... you can only slow it down, and/or speed up wages to catch up to it)
Pretty sure tons of people said they if Trump takes office, inflation would skyrocket thanks to the tarrifs and all his other bullshit... This was entirely expected. It's the result we all knew was coming if he took office.
If it were any other Democrat in office right now, the media would have been pinning the blame harder than fighting games got blamed for violence in the 90s. Getting real sick of the narrative they're spinning.
Turkey did this and the value of their currency halved in value per year for two consecutive years. Imagine if in 2 years a dollar became worth only 50 cents and then a quarter. Everything would cost four times more and, if wages didn't keep up, there would be a revolution (or at least I'd hope so).
People that understand economics said that People who labor under the delusion that Republican administrations are better for the economy thought otherwise.
sounds like BBC is doing damage control for mango mussolini.
the "unexpected" part is that the 3% is above the expected 2.9% rate. they're being coy; the title implies the increase is unexpected while the text shows it's just a tenth of a point above the rate that was expected.
the editors are not uneducated people. I bet they speak English pretty well. the wording is deliberately misleading.
Import tariffs are explicitly inflationary. Even the rhumor of them is arguably inflationary. Lowering the interest rate (which Trump is currently in the midst of bullying the Fed chair into doing ) is also explicitly inflationary.
All of the things he has done that actually pertain to inflation have been to increase it.
"If things aren't good enough, we should make them worse to teach those layabouts a lesson!" - People who have no intention of suffering the consequences of their actions
Yeah well these news publications are starting to blatantly insult everyone's intelligence now. If it was really unexpected, there wouldn't be a bunch of comments here saying "Unexpected? Really?"
You're likely vastly overestimating their understanding of inflation. For many of them it came down to "China pays for it!" and they have no further knowledge or insight beyond that.
Yes, China pays for it, just like Mexico paid for the wall 🙄.
Then those interviewed and writing this article are idiots. 2024 article.
Yet most mainstream economists say Trump’s policy proposals wouldn’t vanquish inflation. They’d make it worse. They warn that his plans to impose huge tariffs on imported goods, deport millions of migrant workers and demand a voice in the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies would likely send prices surging.
Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists signed a letter in June expressing fear that Trump’s proposals would “reignite’’ inflation, which has plummeted since peaking at 9.1% in 2022 and is nearly back to the Fed’s 2% target.
The Nobel economists noted that they aren’t alone in sounding the alarm.
The "middle class" was just a scam our ruling class came up with to make us feel like we're not at the bottom rung of the social economic ladder so we wouldn't riot over being taken advantage of for decades. In reality there are only two classes the extremely rich and the poor.
0.1% for someone with a $500,000 mortgage would be $500.
0.1% for a large company, like say, Blackrock, that has $15 billion dollars in debt, is 15 million dollars.
Edit: however, Blackrock also *profited to the tune of 4.7 billion dollars, so the 0.1% increase is a 0.3% cut into their profit from last year. They can absolutely afford it.
I'd be interested in seeing where the inflation was higher than expectations. He's only been in office a few weeks; most of these markets don't react that quickly.
Yeah that's because the U.S. doesn't have the production capacity to support its steel demands. We import something like 20% of the steel we use, and it's mostly from our neighbors, which these fucking dumbasses are pissing off for zero benefit.
Trump's fine with that as far as his gold reserves are going to skyrocket in value. That's maybe one of the reasons why he wants these tariffs so bad in the first place.
I agree that it's probably a sensational article. No matter what the numbers actually are - it's too early to draw a line to Trumps policy decisions.
It's cherry picking, but I'll point out the 15% increase in the cost of eggs due to Avian flu. I mean, if we blamed Biden for inflation over the last several years then we can place this at Trump's door step surely?
In any case, I look forward to seeing the MAGA-splaining in the coming months.
Is it too early? Considering that a substantial portion of our imported goods originate from a country subject to a 10% tariff, wouldn’t this policy inevitably lead to significant price increases for those products?