This is very good. The higher those numbers go, the more pressure there will be for better official support for both HW and SW.
FOSS is fantastic. But lack of options (FOSS or paid) for a few of my use cases keeps me stapled to Windows and WSL. Unfortunately. I'm hoping the momentum shifts.
I tend to agree. And people need to realize that Adobe's secret sauce is not in their apps, it's in the multi-device interoperability. I love lightroom, but it's not the photo editing ability (darkroom has that), rather it's the fact that I can seamlessly work the same catalogue from any device (even if I don't use their cloud for anything but smart previews).
I think Adobe would cash in if they supported Linux - for want of a workable alternative, I'd even pay them.
Music device manufacturers need to support Linux too. NI Maschine (and others) is simply a non-starter...
It really depends, but some tools would really do that. DaVinci Resolve, for example, has a pretty bad Linux distribution support and format, all things considered, and it's still the go-to video editor for Linux users, despite all of the issues.
I suppose what I mean is that i am happy to select whatever software is best for the task at hand. I have no issue with paying for software if it serves my needs. In a few cases, that limits my options to running windows as commercial versions are unavailable on Linux, and it is my hope that more commercial orgs start making their wares available for Linux, especially in cases where there's no available alternative.
As for splitting hairs on the difference between gratis and libre, life's too short (so if I used incorrect terminology, c'est la vie...)
I've seriously been writing down the pros and cons thinking about switching over to Linux on my main desktop at home. It covers all the games I play now. I was very surprised.
Without the games to hold me back, I don't see why I wouldn't.
Follow Up: I'm on Linux mint! And my two favorite Windows games work just fine with zero configuration with Steam.
Do it. I switched a couple of months ago. I hated it at first, then cought on to what's different. Long story short; I never want to go back to windows.
The more the number change in that direction, the more game devs will not choose to ignore non-Microsoft Windows options too moving the needle to native support. Imagine a future where a game only works after enabling WSL with command flag workarounds if you want to play on a proprietary OS 😂
I literally did this two weeks ago, switched Win11 for Fedora and so far it has been an amazing experience. So far, I only had to dual boot to Win once, and that was because I wanted to play some SteamVR games, which is the only thing I didn't manage to get working (I know there's ALVR, but SteamVR refuses to launch for me unfortunately).
Just go for it, get a new SSD drive and dual boot your choice of distro. You can always go back, and unless you use bitlocker you can just access your windows files from the Linux, so there's not need to move stuff around that much. With dualboot, you have nothing to loose.
When I was part of the KDE marketing working group, we always talked about 5% being the magic number. If we hit that, then the avalanche of ported and supported third party software starts. It's a weird chicken and egg thing. Looks like we're close!
I'm thanking yall for this. And also idk what so different in linux, but I just want apps on here. Like I can find an alternative, but I have to say it, most of the time it's just worse. Like how do you replace AMD Software or Logitech Ghub or Realtek audio (or whatever is the deafult for win, it's so seamless).
To add to this, I can install a standalone app for every feature that AMD Software has, but I don't want to. And Ghub got de-drm-ed for like two mice, but I own a different one. Video recording and Audio settings are basically non-existen. Good luck changing the quality of your audio.
To add even more, I'm more and more used to these alternatives, so idk if I'll still cry about it in a few years. Re-learning computers is such a pain. I hope I'll be able to give linux to my kids as a norm (basically to use without terminal mastery).
Most of the time there is no 1:1 replacement, it all depends on which features you use from these apps.
Some suggestions:
AMD Software
CoreCtrl can do most of the important stuff from the AMD software like GPU overclocking, custom fan curves and per-game profiles.
Logitech Ghub
Piper has a lot of support for different mice and keyboards, maybe yours are supported there?
Realtek audio
I'm not sure what Realtek audio does nowadays, which features do you need?
Video recording
OBS is available and does pretty much does the same stuff as on Windows. If you need to capture gameplay you will have to install obs-vkcapture which is the Vulkan/OpenGL replacement for DirectX capturing included on the Windows version of OBS.
Audio settings
Which settings do you require? What do you mean with "Audio quality"?
Unfortunately most Pipewire/Wireplumber settings are hidden behind config files and I'm not aware of any applications to manage them. The KDE audio settings are quite decent but limited in scope. However, most of the Pipewire settings have a sensible default and probably shouldn't be changed unless you're doing audio production.
qpwgraph is quite powerful when you need to connect multiple devices together or have virtual audio devices.
I wonder if native D3D would really help at all. Most OpenGL drivers in Mesa are really Gallium drivers. Gallium is a low level internal Mesa API uses to implement support for higher level APIs, including OpenGL and Direct3D 9. Vulkan support isn't implemented on top of Gallium, because Vulkan is apparently lower level than Gallium is. These drivers are still pretty damn fast, despite having to go through and intermediate API. If Gallium is fast enough for OpenGL drivers, I don't see why the lower level Vulkan can't be fast enough for Direct3D drivers. As far as I'm aware, the performance difference between DXVK/VKD3D and Direct3D drivers on Windows is already negligible.
Wowzer, ok, that's seriously impressive though, like in 2022 I feel we were stuck at 2-2.5% and in 2023 we passed 3% for the first time and now we're at almost 4????? That's like DOUBLING the market share in a year
I was thinking the same thing. We've actually surpassed Apple on desktop. I know we're gonna laughingly say "year of the Linux desktop," but we have to honestly look how far we've come in a relatively short time.
I'm replacing a couple of really old PCs at work with slightly less old PCs and I know they don't meet Windows 11 specs without workarounds. I'm thinking about taking the leap but I need printer support to work. Otherwise something like open office and a web browser will do what I need. What distro should I start with? I don't have time to find a perfect fit.
Probably linux mint. Everything tends to work out of the box and function the way you'd expect. If you're used to windows then cinnamon will have a familiar feel to it. I like xfce myself, but I move things around to make it feel like windows 95.
I’m thinking about taking the leap but I need printer support to work.
In my experience printer support in Linux is generally pretty good. Even when it doesn't "just work" you usually need only a simple profile file from the manufacturers website that you install.
In general drivers on Linux have been way less painful for me than on Windows; most importantly you don't need an always-running application for every crappy piece of hardware.
But you still might want to check your printer manufacturer's website and/or make one prototype Linux PC and try everything out.
With that being said be prepared for users complaining about some workflow changes (that will be bigger with a switch to something like LibreOffice from MSO) and blaming every issue of theirs on Linux and you.
Please, don’t use Open Office. Dev essentially halted on it years ago when it was forked o LibreOffice. Use LibreOffice instead. The Open Office project seems to still exist to trick people into using old software.
I'd say keep it basic with Ubuntu. It's not exciting, but it 'just works' out of the box and there's TONs of support if you can't figure something out.
It needs testing to ensure you get what you need, but I found printer support worked better on Linux for my obscure printer. If you setup a CUPS server then distros will automatically find the networked printers.
SUSE/OpenSUSE also has a very good GUI printer admin with lots of automatic setup and auto driver downloads...makes it so easy.
I'm loving KDE's Neon distro that's based off Ubuntu. I've not had to do much faffing around to get it the way I want it and anyone that has used Windows should be comfortable using it. KDE Plasma feels very polished and streamlined.
Debian is solid and will come ready with office and web apps. You might want to check out if drivers are available for your printers though. You can always try it out on a live USB.
indias growth is so important, it's such a dense country so growth will be rapidly exponential unlike 95℅ of other countries. it's the perfect mixing pot of technologically literate, dense, money conscious, and distrustful of western influence for linux to thrive in. once india is dominated by linux, it will expand outwards so fast.
Seriously, I'm impressed on just how much influence Linux has in India, not only as an OS, but as a community. I'm in charge of some of the Fedora social media accounts and it really impressed me at first how India is consistently one the top 3 countries our followers are from in all of them.
I have spent 3 days trying to install 64bit Linux on a mini PC which has 32bit UEFI. The funny thing is that this device is so slow probably I will not use it, but I still want to make it work.
I just installed Linux on a six-year-old budget laptop this morning. My first time using Linux. What was a uselessly slow machine is now just humming along.
Nice. That is what started me into Linux. Wife's 2011 laptop became useless with W10 upgrade, now it runs linux and she has fast browsing, zoom calls etc, and it is peppy like a new computer.
I am not saying “This is the Year of the Linux Desktop”. That said, things languished below 2% for decades and now it has doubled in just over a year. With the state of Linux Gaming, I could see that happening again.
Also, if ChromeOS continues to converge, you could consider it a Linux distro at some point and it also has about 4% share.
Linux could exceed 10% share this year and be a clear second after Windows.
That leaves me wondering, what percentage do we have to hit before it really is “The Year of the Linux Desktop”. I have never had to wonder that before ( I mean, it obviously was not 3% ). Having to ask is a milestone in itself.
I've never been a Linux guy but recently I've switched to Pop!OS on my laptop and bought a Steam Deck. Other than a few teething issues with the laptop I've had a great experience and I wouldn't consider myself ridiculously tech savvy. I'd absolutely consider switching my gaming PC over but my worry is loss of performance and being unable to use my game pass games. I'd be super happy if I could switch my PC over in the next couple of years.
Game pass is the one problem with no great solution in sight... But not great doesn't mean none. If you have an Xbox you can play them on the pc streamed over your Lan, and you can also stream games directly from the web as well.
Again, not great solutions, but it is unlikely we will see Xbox game pass running on Linux. I think MS will do anything and everything to prevent that.
Then there's the not-solution of running a windows vm. You aren't ditching windows with that entirely and, at least from what I understand, you'll need a second graphics card to dedicate to the vm to get "bare metal" performance.
I wouldn't say ChromeOS can be clarified as Linux for the sake of this number. While it of course is bases on the kernel, it still is in the hands of one company and definitely not free software. While we may talk about ChromiumOS, I would differentiate here for the sake of control over your OS.
ChromeOS is as much Linux as anything else is. It's controlled by a greedy megacorp, but so is Red Hat (IBM) or, idk, Oracle Linux. Yes it's based on an unusual immutable design, but immutable distros are now cropping up out of lots of projects (Fedora, SUSE, Ubuntu, amongst many others, not to mention the Steam Deck). It avoids using the GNU tool chain, but the alternatives that it uses are already used by other Linux distros (like Alpine). It now uses the standard Wayland graphics stack, and is in the process of moving from upstart (a previously widely used Linux init system) to systemd.
It's hard to come up with a definition of "Linux distro" that excludes ChromeOS without excluding a bunch of unambiguously Linux distros too.
year of the linux desktop is based on how many third party apps are there, not how many people use it imo. they correlate and impact one another but arent the same
Adobe looks at Linux market share and thinks, "Hmm, we could make some money from this," and ports Photoshop, After Effects, and inDesign to Linux
Or:
Adobe looks at ChromeOS and thinks, "Hmm, we could make some money from this," and ports all their programs to the web except After Effects because that involves massively extending web protocols again to support all the codecs and improving performance.
I use Linux (Arch actually) as my daily driver - I'm the MD of a small IT business in the UK. I have at least one employee who is asking me to create a Linux standard deployment to replace Windows because they don't like it anymore - W11 is quite divisive.
For a corp laptop/desktop you might need Exchange email - so that might be Evolution with EWS. You'll want "drive letters" - Samba, Winbind and perhaps autofs. You'll need an office suite - Libre Office works fine. There's this too: https://cid-doc.github.io/ for more MS integration - if that's your bag.
I often see people getting whizzed up about whether LO can compete with MSO. I wrote a finite (yes, finite) capacity scheduler for a factory in MS Excel, back in 1995/6 - it involved a lot of VBA and a mass of checksums etc. I used to teach word processing and DTP (Quark, Word, Ventura and others). LO cuts it. It gets on my nerves when I'm told that LO isn't capable by someone who is incapable of fixing a widow or orphan or for whom leading and kerning are incomprehensible.
I remember back in 2017, I didn't really need any big desktop apps anymore. All I used was Salesforce, Netsuite, O365, Postman... I asked my company to just give me a Chromebook. Now I hate Chromebooks and I could very much do my job on a Linux distro mainly using web apps if needed.
My IT dept would never allow it because they can't install security software on it. Obviously I'd be pretty safe from malware, but they'd have to trust that I set up firewalls and password protection because they couldn't enforce a group policy, and their data loss prevention tools wouldn't work.
Not as "safe" as you think in that regard (I use arch btw), the reason they don't want it is because you lose control as the administrator. Once everyone is running some flavour of Linux and people report problems, guess who's gotta look at it? The IT department. It's a management nightmare compared to windows.
I solved that by social engineering our IT to join my "Windows" computer into the domain, which was actually just a Windows VM. They didn't notice, and I'm free to Linux away.
This may be a controversial opinion but I would rather use the web version of Outlook than Evolution. I have been trying to use Evolution since the Ximian days but I was never really happy with it. I gave up on it in favour of web Outlook a couple of years ago.
For me the turning point was when a failed Windows forced upgrade ended up deleting me important files. I had backups, but I lost days of work because Microsoft felt so insecure in the face of piracy that they had to upgrade my computer despite me constantly telling them not to do so.
That was around 10 years ago. I went through various KDE distros; in the end I settled for Kubuntu.
The recent developments in KDE plasma are excellent. I haven't had to open a command prompt in years. I hadn't had a tech problem until this year when my tmp folder got full.
I'm from the other side, though. I'm a developer and systems administrator on Kubuntu and I live by the command line. I use yakuake, which is totally awesome, and have about 50 or so shells open pretty much permanently, all nicely tucked away in tabs and sub sections in a programmable drop down that automatically starts all those command line shells when my computer boots. It's pure awesomeness, Linus os pure awesomeness!
Damn, you know, I love automation and customization, and your description sounds awesome. I certainly will jump the gap at some point, but the thought of having to relearn an entire OS and suite of tools, and inevitably make mistakes that will cost me time and -probably- multiple reinstalls discourages me quite a bit. I remember using Fedora 20-something ten years ago on my laptop and the amount of things for which I needed a terminal was overwhelming. I also remember trying to learn file management by copying/backing up files from the terminal, and ending up batch-deleting entire folders worth of pictures. I never had a reliable "readme" for learning all this, that didn't already assume I knew all the lingo and was proficient in some programming language.
I suspect that it's not Linux that is on the rise, but overall PC market that is shrinking. It's been a trend for quite a while for non-linux people to dump the PC entirely in favor of using just phone.
And yet here I am looking to expanding my devices with a replacement server (linux) and a NUC (linux).
Finally ditched Windows on the desktop forever, about 7 months ago.
I agree with you on mobile. I my country many ppl ditched laptops and desktops for their phones.
Although I have a hard time understanding how they can actually get some work done on the phone, if they do any work from home that requires a computer. Well those ppl probably have an old laptop laying around.
I remember looking at pc sales data, and they have been shrinking in the last decade, with the curve flattening until the pandemic, when sales grew substantially, almost to the 2000s level. Now it's shrinking back slowly. I'm not sure if people are abandoning desktops in favor of phones as much as we think. desktops are durable and we tend to have only one, while mobile devices are gaining different forms, and people are getting more of them. Perhaps the desktop market has not much more room to grow while mobile devices are still booming.
But that's just one possible explanation, I might be wrong. I was going to post the data, but statista requires login to see it.
I don't know if we know it's shrinking back for sure. With the exception of Q1'23, there seems to be a balance around 19M sales per quarter. There's a way to read it as shrinking, but there's also a way to read it as stabilizing. There's just not enough samples to be certain.
What we have to remember is that we're finally reaching a turning point in GPU pricing. Laptops that were in the $2000+ range a year or two ago are closer to the $1000 commodity price. There had been a "value stall" that just broke, where a new computer used to not be a significant upgrade on an old one, and so people might hold onto their current computers a year or two longer.
I mean, I sure I pulled a few discounts out of my ass, but I just landed an i9 laptop with a 4090 for just over $2k as a replacement to a computer that died. Two years ago almost to the day I bought a middle-of-the-road gaming machine with a 3070 in it for about the same price.
I wonder at the various nuances of that. My wife and I have 4 phones and 3 tablets between us between home and work. It would seem any multi-person household would be likely to have more mobile devices than PCs due to the variety of the former. So that chart seems to be that there are more mobile devices per person, but perhaps no reduction in PCs.
In fact, PC sales rocketed up in Q3'20 for very obvious reasons, and have largely not come back down to pre-COVID levels.
It’s been a trend for quite a while for non-linux people to dump the PC entirely in favor of using just phone.
Can't do that if you play games.
Also that's half of the reason Windows hasn't lost the war on home desktop PCs yet. Another half is office applications.
Actually, these are thirds.
Another reason making me say so is that no major user-friendly distribution wants to be just that, they all have a particular madness with no good reason for it.
So I don't know what to recommend, there should be something off the top of my head, but that'd be "just install Debian, it's fine".
So, any single reason of these going away would accelerate Linux adoption notably. Any two would make it a trend visible to housewives. And all three would resemble the flight of ICQ users to Skype.
I recently been arguing with some dude about some PUBG mechanics. It took me quite some time to realize that he was playing PUBG mobile, never played the PC version or even knew that it even existed for that matter. For him, PUBG simply meant PUBG mobile. For those people, they don't even consider using PC for gaming. They might consider console, but PC to them is just more or less a typewriter for school/office tasks.
What's Ubuntu's "particular madness"? They used to be a little FOSS-only, but they've chilled out on that.
I agree on the other points, though, with one caveat on both.
No matter how many games run on linux, it won't be enough because there aren't ever going to be linux exclusives. Without linux exclusives, there will always be more games that run in Windows than Linux, even if the majority of them run in linux AND run better than in Windows.
Office sounds like a big deal, but Apple managed to prove you don't need it. The real problem Linux has with office is that it has no well-marketed office suite. There's nothing wrong with Libre- or Open- except the complete lack of advertising and passive training to its nuances that we get from MS and Apple office products.
It's not that linux can't win on games or office. It's that the game is rigged against it on both. It took me a few years back in the early 00's, but I quickly realized that there will never be a "year of the linux desktop" regardless of how good Linux gets at games, office, user-friendliness, or anything.
And that's ok because MY life is easier when I use linux.
On my laptop, I've switched to Linux since, despite being built in 2017, doesn't meet Win 11's min requirements. This is horseshit, I don't care how MS explains it or justifies it, there's nothing wrong with it. I'm sure during development, they realized a 20 year old computer could run Win 11 and decided to make up requirements to force people into buying new PCs.
Anyway, I'm using KDE Neon and I'm loving its ease of use and simplicity. I have barely needed to dive into the terminal to fix anything and KDE Plasma feels very polished and user friendly. To me, it feels like the new "normie-friendly" Linux. And without the horseshit telemetry and Microsoft spying, it's like a brand new PC.
I'm a sysadmin and we are in the very early stages of rolling out windows 11 to our users. Windows is windows, but I just can't help but have observations that windows 11 looks like KDE did maybe 10 years ago? It's like a badly themed linux distro from 2015..
It is arbitrary: my HP Zbook initially offered W11 upgrade, but we use corporate stuff and our software wasn't certified on W11 yet so I held off. Months later we get a notice that the Zbook no longer meets requirements for W11 LOL
I wonder if that dip in Windows in April, going down to like 62%, and the correlated boost for "Uknown" operating systems to 13% might somehow simply be Windows not being recognized properly and categorized as unknown?
It seems a bit far-fetched to me that a bunch of Windows users would for 1 month suddenly all decide to use ReactOS, FreeDOS, BSD, Solaris, Illumos, Haiku, Redox, and Plan 9.
It was a specific choice. My PC is a little long in the tooth, sucks power, and is overly loud for where it was situated.
The pi is doing fine for my relatively non-demanding usage. If I do set up the old PC again, I'll probably wind up installing Mint or something, rather than buy upgrades and crap to support Windows 11.
Well, i got some feedback, most creative people don't find gimp good, they won't switch.
Well dunno if it's because gimp lacks good tool that ease up their workflow or because we teached them adobe suite.
During my art course it was : adobe suite and autocad with 3d max.
But i knew blender, gimp and scribus way before entering art school because i disagree with adobe's licensing system and found it very expensive.
Imho, the current best creative software on linux is Blender. There is also Darktable and Rawtepee for light, contrast.
For inkscape, krita, i can't compare, i never used adobe illustrator, nor corel drawer.
Scribus is good, almost perfect but it lacks a very important feature that i can't replicate. Adobe Indesign is far more easier because of the guideline that tell ya this item is correctly aligned and has the same size.
Kdenlive, well featured but i find adding video effect easier on adobe premiere pro. And kdenlive had a lot stability issue, i lost my work several time and that's how i learned to setup automated save.
Autocad easily outmatched freecad, there were a huge difference in functionnalities. I don't know if it has changed since 10 years. It probably improved a lot.
I know this is probably tongue-in-cheek, but if you wanted the serious answer:
GIMP:
Non-destructive Editing (it's coming real soon!)
Vector shapes, not bitmap
Smart objects
Full CMYK support
Full PSD support (for collaboration purposes), hahaha
KILL ALL FLOATING SELECTIONS
Kdenlive:
Well, I actually do use Kdenlive. I'm fine with Lightworks too, and Resolve on macOS. But it's lacking finer color grading controls, the interface is inefficient (being fixed in a future release), hardware-based decoding/encoding needs to either exist or be improved.
And the other big reason is collaboration with other Adobe users.
Personally I don't want people to switch to linux without caring about software freedom. I mean it might be nice to run adobe software in linux but I will not use it, and such softwares have same problems like "windows" which we are switching away from. They are proprietary programs from corporations which doesn't even satisfy freedom 0.
it would be very interesting also the kids had some aknowledge on school about linux, besides windows. Would be open mind to get new apprentices. Besides that, for the normal human being/worker, who only uses PC for internet and office, linux can be taken into account, since it is open source.
I know linux is harder to learn than windows for an average joe, but I guess teaching kids with two OS (windows and linux) give to them more capacity too choose and give them more software/hardware skills
(Im not using linux rn just because imo windows is more stable to edit videos, but in the future, is probably to return to the pinguin)
Thats class! Ty for the reply and your help. Sometimes I use translator apps/sites, but I know is not too accurate and I do some corrections (I guess?! Ahah) from these apps/sites. And yeah, other times i just write without any help.
My problem is with grammar plus I dont have too much vocabulary too understand certain things. But, one more time , ty for your help, appreciated a lot!
I know it's a joke, but if linux keeps growing steadly, without saturating, it can reach a point in which it breaks the "I don't use it because no one else does/ I don't use it because my software isn't supported" barrier and start to grow exponentially.
Just made the switch at the end of December alongside making my new PC. Feels very refreshing to actually be in control of my own computer. I’ve barely run into any issues gaming either, which is a welcome surprise - Proton remains one of the best things Valve has ever done.
I'm one of the converts. Didn't like Windows 11 at all, decided to try Ubuntu/Zorin before going back to 10 and ended up staying. I've tried various distros many times over the past ~15 years but it never felt "ready" to me until now.
The last few years have had great improvements. For any average user (like a kid or adult that just browses web, streams video, zoom calls, etc) there is no reason a Linux desktop can't be their main system.
Windows 11 has irked me on my main laptop. I still use it due to various applications (not just games) that require Windows, but the slowness of the OS and the tracking drive me away from it. I installed Linux on another drive on the laptop.
Additionally, I purchased a desktop from my friend, and completely wiped Windows from it to install Linux (KDE Neon). I realized there is nothing that I'd want from that desktop, possibly aside from a couple of games my more powerful laptop can run, that Linux cannot run.
I'm really suspicious of those numbers, seeing the sudden drop in macOS and Chrome OS, but I'm hoping so much that those are accurate. Things are slowly but surely getting better.
I would switch in a heartbeat if MS office would be on Linux. I have tried all alternatives, including MS office online and I always encounter some kind of formatting fuck up. That's just not acceptable for my job.
you could run it in a vm if you really have to, they have very low overheard on modern computers. mine isn't even modern, it's a thinkpad x230 laptop, it can run a win10 vm without slowdown. also hlps to have a vm sitting around in case oyu need it for anything else
Can I ask what you're using? I tried virt-manager with a win 10 installation and it barely works. Granted an i5 5200U is not beefy by any means but at 100% CPU usage everything just stutters.
Yes, it does use a Linux kernel but no one would consider it open unless you limit yourself to AOSP. Google branded Android is closed and is regulated and restricted.