Skip Navigation

InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)L

lurker

@ lurker @awful.systems

Posts
3
Comments
233
Joined
6 mo. ago

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Oh no every day sneerclub teaches me about a new guy.

    I’ve been aware of Faggella for a while (entirely against my will) he’s got an interview with Yud on his podcast which contains this all-timer quote:

    ”If sacrificing all of humanity were the only way, and a reliable way, to get … godlike things out there — superintelligences who still care about each other, who are still aware of the world and having fun — I would ultimately make that trade-off.”

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • full AI communism

    LMFAOOOOOO

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • ah sweet horrors that are perfectly in my comprehension. what the fuck

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Tech execs are now travelling with bodyguards due to AI backlash great quote at the end:

    “That’s why people are setting warehouses on fire,” a former Pinterest employee named Bonnie Kate Wolf, who was laid off during an AI-focused restructuring, told the WSJ. “You can’t go back to serfdom. It really feels like the people in power want to be kings. Historically, that doesn’t work out for kings.”

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Always has been

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 19th July 2026

    Jump

  • (ported over from previous thread)

    So I managed to find some more of the AI 2027 author’s opinions on their predictions after a bit of poking around, I’ll let this snippet speak for itself

    EDIT: in several comments below, AI 2027 co-authors Daniel Kokotajlo and Eli Lifland provide clarifications and corrections to what I’ve written here. Uplift – the extent to which AI tools are accelerating AI R&D progress – is indeed well short of where the AI 2027 scenario predicts. However, the authors do believe they were on track regarding the rate at which uplift would progress; they merely have adjusted their view of where things stood in early 2025. So uplift is indeed short of the AI 2027 scenario, but may now be advancing at the predicted pace, just from a delayed starting point. And frontier AI lab revenue is in fact ahead of AI 2027’s predictions; the 80% figure I’m citing here, which is labeled “economic value” in the linked report, turns out to reflect company valuations in addition to revenue. Finally, valuations have jumped since the 80% figure was computed and are now “about on trend”. Daniel and Eli provided some other clarifications as well, see their comments.]

    their full comments are here

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 12th July 2026

    Jump

  • So I managed to find some more of the AI 2027 author’s opinions on their predictions after a bit of poking around, I’ll let this snippet speak for itself

    EDIT: in several comments below, AI 2027 co-authors Daniel Kokotajlo and Eli Lifland provide clarifications and corrections to what I’ve written here. Uplift – the extent to which AI tools are accelerating AI R&D progress – is indeed well short of where the AI 2027 scenario predicts. However, the authors do believe they were on track regarding the rate at which uplift would progress; they merely have adjusted their view of where things stood in early 2025. So uplift is indeed short of the AI 2027 scenario, but may now be advancing at the predicted pace, just from a delayed starting point. And frontier AI lab revenue is in fact ahead of AI 2027’s predictions; the 80% figure I’m citing here, which is labeled “economic value” in the linked report, turns out to reflect company valuations in addition to revenue. Finally, valuations have jumped since the 80% figure was computed and are now “about on trend”. Daniel and Eli provided some other clarifications as well, see their comments.]

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 12th July 2026

    Jump

  • Happy Two Years, everyone!!! one month late, but we’ve officially made it over halfway through 2026 and the only “plague” has been people gaslighting everyone into believing hantavirus would be the next covid

  • TechTakes @awful.systems
    lurker @awful.systems

    Apple sues OpenAI over trade theft

    www.axios.com /2026/07/10/apple-sues-openai-trade-secret-theft

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 12th July 2026

    Jump

  • Tech Bros Puzzled by Why AI Hasn’t “Massively Disrupted” Books Yet

    In one since-deleted thread posted on the Reddit forum r/singularity, an AI aficionado posed what they clearly thought was a brilliant question: “why hasn’t AI text generation massively disrupted books yet, when it’s technically capable?”. “Language and writing are the strongest abilities of LLMs, since they’re LLMs,” the user continued. “And yet, people are still reading human made books. Why is that?”. “Just ask the LLM to write you the sequel to your favorite [H]arry [P]otter novel, and it will,” they enthused.

    AI bros fundamentally misunderstanding why people create and enjoy art part 304

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 12th July 2026

    Jump

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 12th July 2026

    Jump

  • Should’ve left in the full footnote:

    ”The AI 2027 scenario is still roughly what we expect the future to look like: a mad scramble to superintelligence leading to either AI takeover or extreme concentration of power. So far reality is tracking closer to AI 2027 than even we expected. (2027 was our modal year at time of publication, not our median.) You can read more about our views on timelines here and here.”

    So yeah you’re bang on the money. Funny how they went on a press tour hyping up Kokotajlo as a forecaster and claiming that dismissing AI 2027 as hype was a “grave mistake” to “yeah we did not expect for it to follow our predictions” and still being slower than what they predicted

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 12th July 2026

    Jump

  • Piggybacking off myself to say that the way they wrote the update on their 2025 review is weird. I’m assuming that they mean 2025 was 65% pace but 2026 crept up to 75%, but the way they wrote it makes me think that they actually meant to say “we originally thought 2025 was 65%, but new data shows it was actually 75%” which would be odd, I’m still assuming the former since it makes more sense to me (they also drop it with zero elaboration like, what metric increased with this new data since this was an overall % of pace? not to mention the real percentage was 58-66% based off their means and medians so it would actually look like 58-76% pace)

    I mean no matter which way you spin it we’re still going slower than AI 2027, so hooray

    (turned this into a second comment so they first one wouldn’t be a wall of text)

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 12th July 2026

    Jump

  • Oh damn, they originally said it was gonna be called AI 2030, so they pushed it back a bit

    It’s not a rehash of AI 2027 with moved-back timelines like I thought it would be, instead its what they believe should happen in regards to AI development

    Plan A is our positive vision for what should happen instead. In this scenario, humanity delays the development of superintelligence until 2040, makes all AI research public, allows dozens of companies globally to catch up to the frontier, and intentionally enters a regime of mutually assured compute destruction.

    And in the first footnote:

    So far reality is tracking closer to AI 2027 than even we expected. (2027 was our modal year at time of publication, not our median.)

    According to them, preliminary analysis of the data as of July 2026 says that rate of progress is 75% of AI 2027. This says Daniel K only believes in a 25% chance of AGI by the end of 2027, their model also hasn’t changed so their medians are still shown as beyond 2027. Footnote 11 also flat-out says they have no idea how much things will keep progressing

    I’m not gonna be able to go through the whole thing because busy today, but those are my observations based off a quick glance

  • TechTakes @awful.systems
    lurker @awful.systems

    Survey results are in! AI is more hated than ICE! (but less hated than the Democratic Party)

    futurism.com /artificial-intelligence/hate-ai-more-ice-poll
  • TechTakes @awful.systems
    lurker @awful.systems

    Anthropic sues the Pentagon over being labelled a supply chain risk

    futurism.com /artificial-intelligence/anthropic-sues-pentagon