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8oow3291d

@ 8oow3291d @feddit.dk

Posts
12
Comments
266
Joined
3 wk. ago

  • JD Vance gloats that allies are 'suffering more than US' from high gas prices

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  • Asia is $60/bbl higher.

    Asia get their oil through the Hormuz straight. Of course their oil price is higher.

    There probably isn't oil tankers enough in the world to equalize the supply between the US and Asia. Hence you should not expect the price to be perfectly equalized between the US and Asia.

  • JD Vance gloats that allies are 'suffering more than US' from high gas prices

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  • We have tons of untapped oil fields

    But that is likely irrelevant for the timescale of this conflict, right? Surely the lead time for bringing new oil fields online is measured in years.

  • JD Vance gloats that allies are 'suffering more than US' from high gas prices

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  • Oil prices are pretty global. If you look at the prices for European oil (Brent crude) and US oil (West Texas Intermediate), then they are $14 apart. Which is not nothing, but WTI is still up by 63% from pre-war. That is still going to hurt the US economy, a lot.

    Also, in the US the oil price windfall is privatized, while the oil price pain is socialized. So the US will still feel almost the full pain.

  • JD Vance gloats that allies are 'suffering more than US' from high gas prices

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  • It is not just at the pump. The whole supply chain depends on oil. Industrial processes, plastics, fertilizer.

    The price rise at the pump is often masked by taxes. The percentage jump for industry will be larger.

  • JD Vance gloats that allies are 'suffering more than US' from high gas prices

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  • But isn't lifting sanctions on Iranian oil actually the smart thing to do? Get all the oil to market, to ameliorate the supply shock. Even though it looks horrible from a PR angle.

  • JD Vance gloats that allies are 'suffering more than US' from high gas prices

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  • It truly should be a learning experience. But I genuinely don't think Republicans in the US are capable of learning anything, especially not something as narratively inconvenient as this.

  • MAGA has been swooning over an Army soldier and her pro-Trump message. She is AI

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  • Why not? 77 million people voted for Trump. And before you cry "election fraud", the pre election polls measured similar numbers.

  • U.S. Warmongering Hits Historic Level as Trump Attacks 3 Continents in 3 Days

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  • Carlin's quote said nothing about "defense".

    And in any case, e.g. NATO's prevention of the genocide was not "defense". Was that also like "fucking for Virginity”? I have met some people from Kosovo, and they certainly do not think so, naming their children after Bill Clinton and all... No, Carlin is an idiot here.

  • U.S. Warmongering Hits Historic Level as Trump Attacks 3 Continents in 3 Days

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  • It’s so ironic then that Biden was so criticized for the consequences of Trump’s agreements with the Taliban 💀

    Trump was responsible for the vast majority of bad outcomes, yup. And the media did not reflect that.

  • JUST IN: Trump Admin Reportedly Making ‘Heavy Preparations’ for Putting Boots on the Ground in Iran

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  • From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mediaite :

    The New York Times has described the site as "a blog that chronicles the gossipy media world"

    So not the most credible source you could imagine. But on the other hand, Wikipedia doesn't list any examples of Mediaite being fake news. And in this case, Mediaite is just summarizing a CBS article - the CBS article should obviously have just been linked instead.

    In any case, it seems to me that Trump has two options: 1) Give consessions to Iran to save the global oil market or 2) ground invasion. Since I can't imagine Trump surrendering, no matter how game theory rational it would be, I am expecting ground operations.

  • U.S. Warmongering Hits Historic Level as Trump Attacks 3 Continents in 3 Days

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  • Going by Trump's actions in first term, the "no wars" thing was the rare promise that was actually pretty believable.

    Trump first term didn't start new big wars, and withdrew from e.g. Afghanistan (in a bullshit way, but still). Based on past actions, and yes because Trump promised it, I believed that Trump would be isolationist in his second term.

  • U.S. Warmongering Hits Historic Level as Trump Attacks 3 Continents in 3 Days

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  • But the oil price shock is going to hurt Trump electorally, and normal people's wallets, way worse than the Epstein files. So in a sense it is silly to say that the distraction is "working".

  • U.S. Warmongering Hits Historic Level as Trump Attacks 3 Continents in 3 Days

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  • Which is a really stupid thing to say. Should e.g. Ukraine not fight for peace? Should Britain not have fought for peace in WW2?

  • Denmark was ready to blow up Greenland runways if US invaded | Danish soldiers sent to Arctic island in January were also given blood supplies in case of combat

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  • selfishness

    The wild thing is that thing would be so much better, if they were just capable of being rationally selfish. Like, don't elect a blatantly corrupt selfish billionaire to be President. Instead elect people who don't want tax cuts for the 1%.

  • Denmark was ready to blow up Greenland runways if US invaded | Danish soldiers sent to Arctic island in January were also given blood supplies in case of combat

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  • Sometimes, like your comment, I wonder if "conservative" is used as a synonym for "stupid".

  • Saudi Arabia reserves right to military action against Iran, foreign minister says

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  • Yes their airspace and US military bases are used for offensive attacks on Iran.

    Source?

  • Saudi Arabia reserves right to military action against Iran, foreign minister says

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  • That is absolutely a legal target for Russia too. I

    Not according to international law, as I understand it.

  • Saudi Arabia reserves right to military action against Iran, foreign minister says

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  • That stance makes absolutely no sense. If a nation is invading you the military bases belonging to that nation are valid legal targets.

    Well yes and not - but that is how international law works. As an analogy, Russia is not attacking tanks heading through the EU to Ukraine, before they pass the border into Ukraine.

    There has to be a consensus of what constitutes a legal target. Or the whole world would be anarchy.

  • Americans Be Like:

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  • But at the same time those same people are in panic about stuff like trans people and public bathrooms. Which has never and will never affect them personally.