Watch Peter Dutton lose his seat, live
Dickson (Key Seat) Federal Election 2025 Results
A few days ago, we saw Canada's Conservative opposition leader Pierre Poilievre lose an election and his own seat. Can we make that twice in a week?
Current numbers (6.1% counted) have a 5.1% swing to the ALP, resulting in a 6.8% lead for Labor's Ali France over Liberal leader Peter Dutton.
Anything to make this woman unhappy
Goodbye Potato Man
ahem. I believe his REAL name is mr potatohead.
It's important to dispose of old potatoes from your pantry before they start withering and sprouting those gross roots.
Just yesterday I talked to someone from Dickson who was complaining that it felt like a waste of time since Dutton was just going to win. Bet they're pretty happy now.
Ali does what Dutton't.
Thank you to our forebears for this at least, giving us preferential voting so that no matter what we think might happen, we can still vote by our heart!!
Preferential AND mandatory voting, so that all those, "meh it doesn't make any difference" voters are forced to get out there and at least put their opinion on a ballot paper.
And hats off to the AEC who do a very good job of nudging people to get their details sorted, and for putting in place systems that makes it pretty easy to do so, and for generally making sure that elections are pretty well organised.
AND we have snags and cake stalls for good causes at polling places and it's also done on a Saturday, so might as well get out there and do the thing.
Mate in Sturt SA (The Grub's old seat) was whinging - what's the point, Libs have never lost the seat and probably never will.
Guess which electorate was the only one in SA to have flipped tonight?
You love to see it.
Like Canada, I wonder how much the Trump factor played into this.
I think a metric fucktonne.
Definitely. And while the Liberals have tried to claim they've been unfairly tarred with the orange brush, they deliberately tacked that way and it did not work. You had Dutton threatening to get "the woke agenda" out of school curriculums (notably set by the previous LNP government, so the woke agenda of ... Scott Morrison???) and Jacinta Nampijinpa Price literally saying MAGA.
The use of the metric fucksystem is just icing on the cake.
I love it.
We're basically done at this point, but we can see Dutton very slightly coming back as pre-polls start being counted, but he's so deep in the hole that it's irrelevant.
8:56 PM AEST
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29 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 13,233 | 34.5% | 59.0% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 11,759 | 30.7% | 41.0% |
ABC updates are sluggish, so I'm switching to the AEC's own count and projections from here.
8:09 AEST
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13 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 8,074 | 33.2% | 57.9% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 7,051 | 29.0% | 42.1% |
Big props to Dickson!
7:25 PM AEST
\
10 of 41 centres reporting primaries, 2 of 41 reporting preferences.
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 2,273 | 32.7% | 53.4% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 2,172 | 31.3% | 46.6% |
Dutton has just officially given his double concession speech for both the federal and local campaigns, against Albanese and Ali France. Polls continue to trickle in, nothing surprising to see.
9:37 PM AEST
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32 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 14,867 | 34.3% | 58.7% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 13,469 | 31.1% | 41.3% |
Second-last update of the night, unless the last one suddenly takes a lot longer. No significant changes, still close on primary/not close on preferences.
EDIT: Actually, I guess we're done, the tracker updated to show 40 of 40 polling stations reporting without the figures actually budging at all. And we're out of here.
12:04 PM AEST
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40 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 28,352 | 34.2% | 56.5% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 28,466 | 34.3% | 43.5% |
8:33 PM AEST
\
29 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 12,503 | 34.4% | 59.3% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 10,918 | 30.0% | 40.7% |
8:20 PM AEST
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28 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 9,766 | 33.5% | 58.3% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 8,428 | 28.9% | 41.7% |
well he better go find it
Come, dad. Let's get you back to bed.
We're coming to the end now, with another recovery for Ali France's primary vote putting the candidates back within spitting distance, with Ali of course well ahead in 2PP.
11:37 PM AEST
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38 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 27,661 | 34.1% | 56.6% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 27,716 | 34.2% | 43.4% |
Dutton continues to claw back some of the primary vote, but the 2PP refuses to budge thanks to strong showings from Climate 200 independent Ellie Smith and Vinnie Batten from the Greens. I'll include them both in this update to show why the primary votes are so different from the 2PP.
9:57 PM AEST
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33 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 19,254 | 34.5% | 58.7% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 18,235 | 32.7% | 41.3% |
| Ellie Smith | Independent | 7,161 | 12.8% | N/A |
| Vinnie Batten | The Greens | 4,440 | 8.0% | N/A |
From a four-way perspective, Dutton is thoroughly behind the left/centre-left candidates.
9:13 PM AEST
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31 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 14,369 | 34.4% | 59.0% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 12,923 | 31.0% | 41.0% |
Bit of a recovery for Ali France's primary vote in this update as the 2PP softens slightly.
11:22 PM AEST
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36 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 21,856 | 33.4% | 56.5% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 22,313 | 34.1% | 43.5% |
How do you lose an election that bad, I'd retire instantly if that was me, that's gotta be the worst loss the liberal parties ever had ay?
Don't stress or anything, he's still out, but for the first time in the night, Dutton has managed to drag his way into the lead for primary votes only. The result after preferences remains practically unchanged.
10:34 PM AEST
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34 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 20,749 | 33.3% | 58.6% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 21,199 | 34.0% | 41.4% |
And now well get another true horror maybe like Andrew Hastie. A "good ol' god fearing creationist nut job" from WA.
11:04 PM AEST
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35 of 40 centres reporting primaries
| Name | Party | Primary | % | 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali France | Labor | 21,432 | 33.3% | 58.2% |
| Peter Dutton | Liberal National | 22,025 | 34.2% | 41.8% |