Is it time for 6G already? Traffic analysis says yep
Is it time for 6G already? Traffic analysis says yep
5G networks won't have the capacity to cope by end of the decade
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I haven't even bought a 5G phone yet. My carrier keeps threatening to cut 4G coverage in various areas, and has already axed 3G entirely, rendering large swathes of otherwise perfectly functional devices useless. So far my 4G Moto Z still works. For now.
At this point my conspiracy opinion that the constant "generation" changes are mostly to just force people to buy/lease new phones and devices. Even pokey old 4G has always been more than fast enough for all of my mobile internet activities. Hell, even 3G was.
I have no less than four otherwise flawlessly functional phones in a desk drawer that just won't work with my cell carrier because they've either turned off 3G or discontinued the specific 4G bands those devices need.
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I live in a medium size city with extensive Verizon coverage. 5g here is still dogshit. It's always slower than LTE and even though towers are everywhere, my phone is constantly switching back and forth.
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I totally agree with you that generation changes are either currently or going to be used as a form of planned obsolescence. I reckon that within 10 years or so we’ll have sub generation types (things 6.5G) that will force people to buy new devices.
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What percentage of people use 3g only phones? If it's 1%, does it make sense to keep those services running just for those people?
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In the US almost none, the networks are being shut down.
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I was forced to upgrade since i was still rocking a 3g phone and my area switched to 5g. The phone company gave me a free Pixel6 since it wasnt my choice to upgrade. Maybe if you hold out long enough you'll just get a free upgrade. Though it was a double edge sword, since they tried to up my monthly bill since i was "upgraded" to "premium data". I had to fight that and still ended up paying a few bucks more than previously, but better than what they tried to charge me.
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4G, 5G and now 6G are worthless if cell providers don't provide enough bandwidth to the towers. The range also keeps decreasing as the generations increase, so now there are these big gaps that 3G used to cover.
In my area, 5G is slower than 4G and both have lower signal and slower speeds than 3G used to have. I need a dual SIM phone and to constantly switch my phone between AT&T and T-Mobile, and both are crap. I only use about 1GB in total too, and I'm lucky if I can pull more than 1 megabit on either service. I miss 3G speeds, coverage, and competition.
Worst of all, AT&T is forcing home users to switch to a 5G hotspot from DSL. It's probably a big part of why the cell towers are always overloaded too. Imagine running your home internet on 1 megabit with constant drops...
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That thing with 3G sounds right. I usually switch to 3G when I want faster speeds than 4G, which gets me only around 1-3Mbps during the day in my location*. If I do want even faster speeds, I have to use the internet between 1-4am when I can reach pretty nice 40Mbps.
Unfortunately, when connected to 3G of Orange in national roaming, I can only use 20GB as stated in the FUP (my carrier doesn't offer 3G). However the carrier has confirmed they unofficially allow up to 40GB for some reason.
But that's not enough for me. I use around 80GB per month on mobile data, but sometimes I reach up to 150GB.*In some areas with lower population (typically small villages), I get almost the maximum theoretical speeds of 75Mbps.
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Yeah but eventually they upgrade plus lots of them want to remove copper if they haven't yet and switch towers to fiber so I feel eventually it improves but yeah slower than expected.
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Pay attention to what corps oppose things like
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slower speeds than 3g
wtf that’s not even possible where even country how
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The infrastructure is newer, more people are switching to 5G out of necessity, and the influx of newer users is straining that infrastructure which is not prepared for it.
5G is supposed to have taken over the network frequencies of 3G (15MHz to 20MHz) from 800 MHz, 850 MHz, 900 MHz, 1,700 MHz, 1,900 MHz and 2,100 MHz bands. The problem with that is the higher the frequency used, the farther it travels through unimpeded space, but the lower it penetrates in impeeded space. 5G (1GHz to 6GHz) on the same frequency bands won't penetrate as far in dense urban population centers with large buildings.
So yes, 5G can send more data at a faster rate. But don't confuse bandwidth with signal clarity or penetration. Because higher frequency doesn't always mean better operation or even better transmission. The receiver also figures into what is being transmitted. You can have the biggest array with the highest UHF and if the receiver isn't in a place with optimal reception, or it's not built for that input it will mean nothing. That's the difference between Bandwidth and Frequency. https://www.pcmag.com/news/5g-is-here-but-how-it-performs-varies-widely-depending-on-where-you-live
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5g home internet is not “1 megabit with constant drops” in my experience. I live in a large city in the US and on Verizon I get several hundreds down and 40-70 up depending on the time. I used to have T-Mobile which was worse, but still typically 200mbps down. There is packet loss but it is very low and not an issue. Upload is not great but much better than what the cable company offers. My parents out in the middle of nowhere were still able to get ~50-100 based on conditions. Even then, that’s a huge upgrade over most DSL services.
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"This is an important research question because we can see mobile traffic going up over the next decade by a factor of 10 or even a factor of 20. "
Wtf are they going to do with that? Always-on video from wireless devices everywhere? Holographic movies on every web page? It sounds terrible. I remember having to make phone calls for basic communication. These days you send a text or email, except now and then you want the higher bandwidth of a voice call. That is, we have been moving toward LESS bandwidth rather than more.
Whatever is imagined being done with all the new bandwidth can't be good.
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Your personal usage does not align with the majority. Look at tiktok, it's social media based around endless video files. It's not an occasional text or email, it's hundreds of videos that your constantly scrolling through.
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OK, good point. Are people using mobile data for that? Yes you're right I'm not on social media etc. Also I'm on a super cheap mobile plan with enough monthly data to check email and look at some occasional web pages, but if I want to watch a video I almost always use home internet for that. I guess if this super high bandwidth mobile stuff kills Comcast though, some good will have come out of it. The Register article talks mostly about IoT and "AI/ML" rather than social media though.
Is 5g mobile data cheaper for the end user than 4g in practice? The sticker prices and advertised data caps for monthly plans look to me to be about the same as before, but maybe more of the data cap is usable in practice.
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The real problem is that people are too lazy to read. Endless video, who is tiktok targeted to? This is bad news for attention spans and your ability to work. Just try to look at how much information you can retain from a video compared to a paragraph of text.
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Wtf are they going to do with that?
Show more ads
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They're making the data faster, but most plans are still limited to something ridiculous like 20G/month. What's the point of being able to stream 4K video or whatever if that's going to burn through your data allowance in seconds?
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A huge part of newer mobile network generations is the increased capacity. Faster speeds is effectively the same as more capacity in the towers.
This means that companies could actually afford to start offering unlimited data caps, there just has to be the push to do so. But I do genuinely believe that within a decade there will be no more datacaps for mobile data in cities, at least (or at least plenty of plans with unlimited and no throttling). Well, idk about the US considering you got data caps on broadband, but, I'm sure Europe will get it.
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And nobody will ever need more than 640K of memory, so the fact that even your cell phone carries vastly more than that must mean you yourself are up to no good, right?
Even if you're not dealing with a constant video stream, the power of the internet lies in moving vast amounts of data around. Yeah a lot of that information is based of corporate privacy invasion, but you also have things like medical databases or performing jobs remotely. I had gigabit routers in my home at a time when 10/100 routers were still typically used even in businesses. If you have a capability, someone will find a way to make use of it and new innovations will pop up that we hadn't even considered before. Imagine where we would be at if Xerox hadn't invented the mouse and GUI desktop years before personal home computers were even available.
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Don't you watch HDR movies in 4K on the go? Ok, not 4K, but people stream a lot of HD videos all the time. As well as stream from their phone cameras to Facebook and Twitch. Another issue is that high density cities have way too many people trying to do all this high bandwidth stuff at once.
And video calls. Don't forget video calls.
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Just make a nationwide 10gb fiber optic service it’s like 5 times cheaper.
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I guess it's for streaming?
I'm not into any of that livestream stuff and I cannot believe that people stream their lives and other people want to watch it.
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Always-on video from wireless devices everywhere?
They can't even give me more than 20GB a month without forking over more than I pay for my home internet, never happening in my lifetime.
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Most want ubiquitous and affordable/cheap mobile internet without the hassle of signing contracts. Moving tech tiers past 4G isn't relevant for consumers as of now.
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Said the Phone/ISPs top earning guys while looking at their bank accounts extracts.
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I need some stocks for 6g developing/manufacturing corps.
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Samsung probably
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Don't ask me no clue 😅
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Why don't we just skip 6G and just go straight to 7G
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If they're going to skip anything, it's going to be 8.. Because 7, 8, 9!
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I mean, you might have a point there.
If seven ate nine, but you skip eight, it's all OK! Seven nine.
But.. But.. Seven ate nine.
You ate eight!
Seven nine!
Waaaahhh!
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Nah dude... That's why they skipped 9 because 7 ate it. 9 was never a viable option
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They'll skip 9 as that seems to be Kryptonite to tech. Both Microsoft and Apple decided to skip straight from 8 to 10 with Windows and iPhone respectively.
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If 5g makes the frog gay would 6g negate it?
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Nah this will be something related with Satan and 666 and hell and so on.
The 6 Gs of the apocalypse. G G G G G G
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Gluttony, Gargoyle, Gollum, Ganesha, Gabriel, Gesus...
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gg wp
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It makes them trans
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Nah dude, this time it'll make the snakes gay. 7g will affect even more species, where the end goal is 10g: make the planet gay!
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Well yes, since it makes the frog trans so it goes from gay to straight
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yep
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With 4G covering all my needs flawlessly, idk if I'd need a new gen. With a laptop, probably, but a smartphone, or even tablet? Ping across the globe is a bigger offender than speeds. Having a 2-3 sec delay when calling anyone, even though having a smooth detailed picture, is more annoying than having a 480p and an instant response. Cloud gaming suffers from it too. But that's on ISPs, international lines, and that's harder to change than introducing the 6G in phones and local towers.
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mmwave 5g has some incredibly low latency compared to 4g. You'd be surprised how much of your latency is just from you to the tower.
Right now when it's not busy mmwave 5g doing a speed test I have 45ms latency and 3ms of jitter. 4g is 54ms with 12ms of jitter. When the network is loaded there's a HUGE difference. 5g can handle so many more people at once so your latency is never really that high. But when 4g is loaded down latency gets huge fast.
Ping from china to me in the US is sub 250ms on my wired internet connection so that's not really the problem. The rest is whoever is doing your phone call.
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mmWave is fine when you are out in the open but anything blocking your view basically kills the signal strength. So things like stadiums and highly trafficked streets are great for it but definitely not in a building.
The mid band 5g I'm on (Mint aka T-Mobile) has little issue hitting 500Mbps here in my house.
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US2CHN? 250? Wow.
My shithole has sub 100 playing local servers when wired, and moreso when playing on EU servers, something like 2-4 whole seconds when I accidentially lobbied with people writing in hieroglyphics. All these crappy old wires from early two thousands and a lack of maintainance.
But I guess, that isn't a problem elsewhere, and we'd both benefit from 5G based on your observation.
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Silicon Valley really wants to make XR a thing.
Current tech does not need 5G and the shit that they think will need 6G is just needless XR systems that will be steaming an unjustifiable amount of data from the "cloud".
The enshittification continues. Happy 2024 folks
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When I had a Pixel 6, there was a bug that caused awful battery drain when on 5G, so I changed the preferred network setting to LTE for like a month while waiting for them to fix the issue.
It had NO effect on my regular use at all. Running speed tests showed that my max download speed was significantly slower while using LTE, but that's obviously not indicative of real world usage. If there was any difference between LTE and 5G in terms of page loading, media streaming, etc during regular daily activities, it wasn't perceptible.
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I honestly don't think I'd notice a real world difference between 4G and H+ in most scenarios except for, maybe, video. I never understood the hype for 5G, especially considering the horrendous frequency limitations that imply line of sight AND very small coverage radii.
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If the carriers keep offering 10GB per month or "unlimited" plans, why I would want to spend the whole big amount in 5 seconds?
I didn't see the point there.
From my humble POV they just want to advertise and marketing about they being the first ones in having 6G while the thing they should do it's INCREASE THE FUCKING DATA AMOUNT, PEOPLE(ME) NEED MORE DATA NOT SPEED TO SPEND THEIR DATA IN 5 SECONDS. DUMB MFS.
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High speeds aren't just for you to destroy your data plan in 10 seconds.
It's for when everyone at the same time trying to download something so they can provide a good experience in the worst case scenarios.
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The price per GB in the US is truly awful. I'm also not interested at all in higher speeds with a data plan that costs $1 per GB downloaded. Fuck that. Even in the third world it's not hard to find internet plans that cost a fifth of the ones t-mobile, att, etc offer you.
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Every generation boosts capacity. Speed increase is just a side effect which is easy to market. 5G didn't bring enough capacity as its roll out was too late. 6G is too late now as well. We need something like 10G and we need it yesterday.
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We Moroccans don't even have 5G countrywide yet, and yet you guys are already prepping for 6G? At least wait for everyone to catch up.
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No, most of us don't have 5G.
Att for instance has been telling their custumers for.2 years they were 5G but if you download a network scanner you will discover that 4G LTE is the Max that most Americans outside financial hubs have gotten.
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If this doesn't fit into the definition of "scam", then idk what does.
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If we did that, nothing new would ever happen. A lot of third world nations have yet to industrialize ffs
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Oh.
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I can hear the conspiracies already!
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The wave forms of 6G will physically break the ankles of birds in flight and neuter your dog through the roof of the house. Yoghurt will never taste the same and your feet will go up two sizes forcing you to buy new shoes. The writing is clearly on the wall.
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I have no 5G where I live. Maybe it's time to wait??
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Does this mean we can do proper voice over 4G already? Last time I heard it was just for the selected phone models with specific software.
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WE DIDN'T NEED 5G
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I’m still waiting for 5G to revolutionize everything like every carrier promised it would.
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Just skip to 10G already.
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GTA V has 9G LMAO
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My wireless technology goes up to 11G
That's just 10G but the 10 is crossed out
Yeah because 11G is higher than 10G
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Qualcomm is erect
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it would be difficult to make it good
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I think I might be the person who benefitted most from 5G. I live in mid-size city that gets overrun with tourists a few times a year. The speed upgrade hasn’t mattered much but it’s been awhile since I couldn’t get on the network because of capacity problems. It used to happen half the time I was in a crowd. LTE basically never worked well at big sporting events and concerts.
That might not be because of 5G tech, though. Maybe carriers just got better at deploying extra capacity for major events?
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Excessive traffic, like sporting events, concerts, fairs, natural disasters etc. Are a lot of fun to engineer. A lot of times they will use a cell on wheels or COW. At first mobile operators didn't order a lot of these, but slowly increased their stock.
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The fact that she's wearing a yellow shirt in the article thumbnail makes this just 👌
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Got to justify asking for more money to roll this shit out. Glad we get our moneys worth out of all that fiber we already paid for ...... Over and over and over again already. guess there's no limits when its not your money..
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In the US, the government doesn't spend money on mobile operators. In fact, mobile operators pay the government for use of radio frequencies used to provide services.
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... Huh? Any source for this outlandish claim? Asking because I've been an engineer who facilitates cell tower backhaul for mobile and private cell towers and that sounds outrageously false. You do have to certify that the channels/bands are in spec and that they don't exceed certain power limits with the FCC but that's simply because they're the regulatory body and certainly doesn't mean the government gets free services
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I'm barely getting a decent 4G connection. My phone does support 5G but I haven't even considered paying for it as I see no point. Even 3G is fast enough for my needs.
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7g will summon a portal to hell!! Just you wait and see.
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.------------+-------+------------. .'`--. / \ .--' . : ". | | ." ; | "-. | | .-" | | )-. .-( | " | ". ." | " \ / "-.-" \ / ". | .-' '-. | ." \ | ." ". | / \ / .-" "-. \ / ".|.-" "-.|." ". ." "--.. ..--" '""-------""'
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This is the best summary I could come up with:
It was touted as delivering not just a dramatic shift in download speeds, but was expected to enable a host of new applications such as extended reality (XR) and usher in a new era of connected devices.
Gartner analyst Bill Menezes told us at the time: "As the carriers continue updating their networks for 5G Standalone technology, users will increasingly experience the promised improvements in speed and reliability."
Nokia is advocating for 6G spectrum just above the current mid band range for 5G (1-6 GHz) because that will allow for deployment from existing cell sites, he added, and this will call for large-scale antenna arrays that can better direct the electromagnetic energy.
Nokia has built a proof of concept, using an existing 5G base station hacked to operate as a radar, and researchers were able localize people and detect movement within an accuracy of less than a meter, Vetter claimed.
Overall, the concepts for 6G so far seem to center on mobile networks becoming more pervasive and creating capacity and performance for demanding applications like telepresence, as well as connecting myriad sensors and devices beyond phones.
And here comes the rub: That position may prove untenable as operators feel pressure to keep investing for fear of falling behind rivals - the same dynamics as in previous rollouts in the mobile network industry.
The original article contains 1,522 words, the summary contains 222 words. Saved 85%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!
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Ive forced my phone to only use 4G as 5G allows for far greater location tracking.