Companies say they're closing in on nuclear fusion as an energy source. Will it work?
For decades, government scientists have toiled away trying to make nuclear fusion work. Will commercial companies sprint to the finish?
If only there was some sort of big fusion ball in the sky which gave us vast amounts of energy that we could collect if we wanted to...
Today's shower thought: is a fusion power plant just a miniaturized Dyson Sphere?
How does the power grid work?:
I hope it works.
But I'm skeptical enough to say that I think this is a scam. We're closing in, research wise, on getting fusion to generate more power than it takes to run. Which is awesome!
But its still a far trek from that figure, to producing enough power to be practical (I've heard it said you really need to aim for 10x more production than input, minimum, for it to make any sense).
And that is still a trek from making a fusion plant competitive with existing grid power.
I'm skeptical if this plant they're building will even generate power, which is like three steps away from making commercial sense at all.
You're right, but you can't use the word 'scam' for it. It's an avenue that should be explored fully and may or may not lead somewhere. A scam would imply it's a conspiracy where the players already know the unsuccessful end result, but are hiding it and using funding or similar for other end purposes.
That is what I think the owner is doing here. Scamming venture capital firms for a tech that cannot work.
And I mean, its not like I have any proof. I can't read minds; maybe he is a true believer.
But this company feels like those companies back in the 80s that sold tickets to mars, for the rockets they were 'just about to build'; a scam.
This isn't a research firm. This isn't trying to find the exact settings and layouts to make fusion possible. If the article can be taken at face value, this is a company to make a commercial fusion plant. And I find that, in 2023, patently absurd.
Even if they miraculously figured out how to build a commercially viable reactor TODAY, it would be too late to be more than a tiny building block of a zero carbon strategy.
Building enough of them, including all necessary global infrastructure would take 30 years. If we continue business as usual till then, it's already over.
And fusion would only reduce carbon emissions in the energy sector, not in transportation, shipping, resource gathering/refining, etc.
Reducing carbon emissions isn’t the primary goal here though. The primary goal is infinite clean energy. INFINITE power. The plant in France could become operational within 5 years. The harnessing of this power is a milestone for our species.
I still think it's prudent to build the plants as a backup plan for zero emissions. The best time build a bunch of nuclear plants was 30 years ago, and the second best is now -- because 30 years from now, I don't want us to still be in the same situation of "we should've built them years ago". Fusion has the capacity to be a nearly limitless, clean energy source. Even if we already have zero emissions when we turn them on, they can give us an abundance of energy we've never seen before.
Think about the possibilities if energy was free and unlimited. There's a lot of stuff today that is limited because they're energy inefficient. That would stop mattering. Clean water can be generated en masse through reverse osmosis. Everything gets easier to build and to operate. The only operating costs of significance would be maintenance. High speed travel hubs could be built anywhere and everywhere. Even the worst quality soil could be made arable. We could constantly monitor a bunch of parameters for the sake of monitoring them -- we could determine for instance if we're depleting seawater by significant levels when we purify it, and we can course correct it then and there. What could be a second climate crisis otherwise would be nipped in the bud since we wouldn't have to wait so long to see after effects.
I'm talking like a kid at a candy store, but it's honestly super exciting to think about. This would be the next step for energy after sustainability, and it would completely transform everything for the better.
Genuinely curious in what world do you think humanity's energy needs are not going to increase over time?
In the one where areas with a billion inhabitants become unsuitable for human habitation in 20 years, and the resulting mass migration takes down civilization as we know it.
Efficiency will get better, and population will likely start to decline. But I don't know if more demand from people coming out of substance farming will be more or less than the less usage from efficiency and population decline.
If it doesn't work, it doesn't work. Back to the drawing board.
If it works, then let's reproduce it a couple times to be sure that it works, and then start pouring concrete. Fusion isn't worth pursuing just because of global warming, but because it's akin to making energy out of nothing. We would have a nigh limitless capacity for conducting fusion and generating energy. A future with unlimited energy isn't a climate goal necessarily, it's a massive leap for humanity overall.
It will work eventually. Just give them another 25 years.
Based on current events, nuclear fusion plus corporate greed is probably the solution to the fermi paradox.
It's not about any advances in fusion. It's about the list of idiots they've raised money from.
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