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Which is more likely in the future: Smartphones eventually becoming more "open" OR Computers eventually becoming more "locked-down"?

Linux Phones and Unlocked Bootloaders?

Or are computers gonna just go the smartphone route and you can't instal another OS?

I mean, Chrombooks are the first example of computers being more locked down. Will compouter manufacturers do the same? Mifrosoft now requires TPM on windows 11, could they make "Secure Boot" mandatory for windows 12? (Thereby preventing a linux install)

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