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3 yr. ago

  • Highlights from the comments: @wjpmitchell3 writes,

    Actual psychology researcher: the problem with IQ is A) We don't really know what it's measuring, B.) We don't really know how it's useful, C.) We don't really know how context-specific it is, D.) When people make arguments about IQ, it's often couched around prejudiced ulterior motives. No one actually cares about IQ; they care about what it's a proxy measure of and we don't have good evidence yet to say "This is a reliable and broadly-encompassing representation of intelligence." or whatever else, so if you are trying to use IQ differences to say that there are race differences in intelligence, you have no grounds. The best you can say is there are race differences in this proxy measure that we're still trying to understand. It's dangerous to use an unreliable and possibly inaccurate representation of a phenomena to make policy changes or inform decisions around race. The evidence threshold has to be extremely high because we're entering sensitive ethical spaces, which is something that rationalist don't do well in because their utilitarian calculus has difficulty capturing the intangibles.

    @arnoldkotlyarevsky383 says,

    Nothing wrong with being self educated but she comes across as being not as far along as you would want someone to be in their self-education before being given a platform.

    @User123456767 observes,

    You can kind of tell she grew up as a Calvinist because she still seems to think she's part of the elect she's just replaced an actual big G God with some sort of AI God.

    @jaredsarnie3712 begins,

    I feel like so much of what she says boils down to finding bizarre hypothetical situations where child sexual abuse is morally acceptable.

    And from @Fruuuuuuuuuck:

    Doomscroll gooner arc

  • Oh, and looking back at the comments on titotal’s post… his detailed elaboration of some pretty egregious errors in AI 2027 didn’t really change anyone’s mind, at most moving them back a year to 2028.

    Huh, what's this I have open in another browser tab:

    The Great Disappointment in the Millerite movement was the reaction that followed Baptist preacher William Miller's proclamation that Jesus Christ would return to the Earth by 1844, which he called the Second Advent. His study of the Daniel 8 prophecy during the Second Great Awakening led him to conclude that Daniel's "cleansing of the sanctuary" was cleansing the world from sin when Christ would come, and he and many others prepared. When Jesus did not appear by October 22, 1844, Miller and his followers were disappointed.

  • It's a bird! It's a plane! It's... Evangelion Unit 1 with a Superman logo and a Diabolik mask.

  • Thomas Claburn writes in The Register:

    IT consultancy Gartner predicts that more than 40 percent of agentic AI projects will be cancelled by the end of 2027 due to rising costs, unclear business value, or insufficient risk controls.

    That implies something like 60 percent of agentic AI projects would be retained, which is actually remarkable given that the rate of successful task completion for AI agents, as measured by researchers at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) and at Salesforce, is only about 30 to 35 percent for multi-step tasks.

  • It's like when Scott Aaronson got me to sympathize with a cop. A sneersmas miracle.

  • I poked around the search results being pointed to, saw a Ray Kurzweil book and realized that none of these people are worth taking seriously. My condolences to anyone who tries to explain the problems with the "improved" sources on offer.

  • Rather than trying to participate in the "article for deletion" dispute with the most pedantic nerds on Earth (complimentary) and the most pedantic nerds on Earth (derogatory), I will content myself with pointing and laughing at the citation to Scientific Reports, aka "we have Nature at home"

  • Because of course.

  • You know, just this once, I am willing to see the "Dead Dove: Do Not Eat" label and be content to leave the bag closed.

  • Or was it a consequence of the fact that capital-R Rationalists just don't shut up?

  • I suppose you could explain that on the talk page, if only you expressed it in acronyms for the benefit of the most pedantic nerds on the planet.

  • There might be enough point-and-laugh material to merit a post (also this came in at the tail end of the week's Stubsack).

  • The opening line of the "Beliefs" section of the Wikipedia article:

    Rationalists are concerned with improving human reasoning, rationality, and decision-making.

    No, they aren't.

    Anyone who still believes this in the year Two Thousand Twenty Five is a cultist.

    I am too tired to invent a snappier and funnier way of saying this.

  • I'm the torture copy and so is my wife

  • In other news, I got an "Is your website AI ready" e-mail from my website host. I think I'm in the market for a new website host.