Well, it is true that computer programs have far surpassed humans in board games. They are very well suited for it. It just has nothing to do with the hypothesized abilities of future "AI" as rationalists conceive them.
flaviat explained why your counterexample is not correct. But also, the correct statement (Liouville's theorem) is that a bounded entire function must be constant.
Given consistent trends of exponential performance improvements over many years and across many industries, it would be extremely surprising if these improvements suddenly stopped.
The Democratic party's presidential nominee for 2028 will be chosen by a primary election, which will also be in 2028. Until a candidate wins the primary election, there is no nominee. This is important because Newsom is a sack of shit and we have multiple years with which to oppose his run for nomination.
There's a part where they quote someone saying "I am not particularly confident [in my p(doom)]" and I'm still remembering getting talked down to about how Actually all subjective uncertainty can be represented as probabilities because Bayesianism and you wouldn't happen to be one of those stupid frequentists right?
I don't really understand what point Zitron is making about each query requiring a "completely fresh static prompt", nor about the relative ordering of the user and static prompts. Why would these things matter?
I'm also a big fan of the concurrency implementation, I wish other languages made it so easy to use green threads & channels.