https://archive.is/PDgTJ this one seems to work. "The world should prepare for the looming quantum era:
New breakthroughs underscore the technology’s potential and perils"
The headline jumps into the critihype already. (which might be justified by the article, im just judging the book by the cover)
(Imagine if had just spend those hours on something else and paid an artist the same hours to make something. Or if he had grabbed a pencil or charcoal himself).
People are using llms to filter logs and alerts which will get someone hacked in a spectacular way eventually. Which will be very funny. And will give people 20 year old flashbacks.
Also buffer overflows are going to be back as the llm doesnt know to give the length of the correct string to the strncpy. Gonna be funny, if people keep proper backups.
The unicode stuff amazes me as that is one of the things. That could actually be filtered for. Not doing any input validation. It isnt low hanging fruit, it is already on the floor. The incompetence..
Not a sneer, but there is this yt'er called the Elephant Graveyard (who I know nothing about apart from these vids) who did a three part series on Joe Rogan, the downfall of comedy, hyperreality, which is weirdly relevant, esp part 3 where suddenly there are some surprise visits.
My copy of "the singularity is near" also does that btw.
(E: Still looking to confirm that this isn't just my copy, or it if is common, but when I'm in a library I never think to look for the book, and I don't think I have ever seen the book anywhere anyway. It is the 'our sole responsibility...' quote, no idea which page, but it was early on in the book. 'Yudnowsky').
Transcript:
Our sole responsibility is to produce something smarter than we are; any problems beyond that are not ours to solve....[T]here are no hard problems, only problems that are hard to a certain level of intelligence. Move the smallest bit upwards [in level of intelligence], and some problems will suddenly move from "impossible" to "obvious." Move a substantial degree upwards and all of them will become obvious.
—ELIEZER S. YUDNOWSKY, STARING INTO THE SINGULARITY, 1996
Transcript end.
How little has changed, he has always believed intelligence is magic. Also lol on the 'smallest bit'. Not totally fair to sneer at this as he wrote this when he was 17, but oof being quoted in a book like this will not have been good for Yudkowskys ego.
Interesting wondering if they manage to come further in the process than our gov, which seems to restart the process every few years, and then either discovers nobody wants to do it (it being building bigger reactors, not the smaller ones, which iirc from a post here are not likely two work out) for a reasonable price, or the gov falls again over their lies about foreigners and we restart the whole voting cycle again. (It is getting really crazy, our fused green/labour party is now being called the dumbest stuff by the big rightwing liberal party (who are not openly far right, just courting it a lot)).
29 okt are our new elections. Lets see what the ratio between formation and actually ruling is going to be this time. (Last time it took 223 days for a cabinet to form, and from my calculations they ruled for only 336 days).
I think they will just start to make up capabilities, also with the added capabilities of quantum of a computing paradigm, AGI is back on the menu. Now, due to quantum without all the expensive datacenters and problems. We are gonna put quantum in glasses! VR/Augmented reality quantum AI glasses!
So, as I have been on a cult comparison kick lately, how did it work for those doomsday cults when the world didn't end, and they picked a new date, did they become more radicalized or less? (I'm not sure myself, I'd assume it would be the people disappointed leave, and the rest get worse).
... prophecies, per se, almost never fail. They are instead component parts of a complex and interwoven belief system which tends to be very resilient to challenge from outsiders. While the rest of us might focus on the accuracy of an isolated claim as a test of a group’s legitimacy, those who are part of that group—and already accept its whole theology—may not be troubled by what seems to them like a minor mismatch. A few people might abandon the group, typically the newest or least-committed adherents, but the vast majority experience little cognitive dissonance and so make only minor adjustments to their beliefs. They carry on, often feeling more spiritually enriched as a result.
Surely they have proof for the already increased capabilities of coding. Because increased capabilities is quite something to claim. It isn't just productivity, but capabilities. Can they put a line on the graph where capabilities reach the 'can solve the knapsack problem correctly and fast' bit?
That opening has a strong 'omg what the fuck happened there, and why are you still friends with these people if it is that bad' vibes.
Lots of ex Maplers I've talked to are variously angry, some (newly) traumatized, confused, etc., but the vibe has generally been "gosh it's fucking complicated
Lot of people told me they were mad, but I got the vibe it was complicated. lol what...
The product of monasteries is saints, at least in small quantities.
Wrong, it is beer.
I haven't seen anti-safetyist arguments that actually address the technical claims made by Eliezer etc.
I agree with him there. But hard to make arguments against something which doesn't exist. ;)
it will take some very unusual kind of virtue and skill
Love how we went from 'you need to learn rationality, and be aware of your biasses' to you need to have virtue. And ignore the screaming in the backgrounds, that is just the academics who studied ethics doing their normal thing again.
Anyway the rest gets pretty dark pretty quickly, and I just see red flags (for people who believe in data this devolves very quickly in just going 'people are prob better off due to this, the new trauma doesn't count because of preexisting conditions, consent and trauma always happening'). And this was the article they wrote not wanting to harm the project.
Wait one more remark:
Furthermore I think that probably with the exception of the one actual AI researcher there, people at Maple basically don't understand what AI is
Hahahaha, perfect.
It also reminds me of the interview with Metz where they got mad Metz used religious terms. (you know, last week).
Always a bad sign when people can't just let a thing be a thing just for enjoyment, but see everything as the 'hustle' (for lack of a better word). I'm reminded of that dating profile we looked at which showed that 99% what he did was related to AI and AI doomerism, even the parties.
Yeah, but he used to have forums, and then a blog, and then no blog and then a blog again, and then a hidden blog etc. Think Howard has only a few minor credits on some games, he always came off as a bit of a weirdly combative nerd who thought he was right and the smartest in the room and didn't get that people didn't agree with his definitions/assumptions. He is a big idea guy for example. One of his comics was also called 'the atheist, the agnostic and the asshole' so yeah. The 00's online comic world was something.
It never is is it. It never is.