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CinnasVerses

@ CinnasVerses @awful.systems

Posts
2
Comments
330
Joined
10 mo. ago

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 21st June 2026

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  • Qiaochu Yuan (no relationship to the man accused of soliciting a child) left his PhD program to become an "emotional coach." If his old tweets are any guide then Doctor, heal thyself. G. Duleba and Ozy picked similar careers rather than coaching a soccer team or teaching freshman English like most people who want to be teachers and mentors.

    Edit / Ozy also does not like the PUA advice of Geoffrey Miller and Tucker Max. I think this is less sneering at a stranger than sneering at someone Ozy's friends know and admire (Miller and Fleischman attend TESCREAL events).

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 21st June 2026

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  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 21st June 2026

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  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 14th June 2026

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  • The "Behind the Bastards" on Nicole Daedone's California sex cult does have a lot of similarities to Ziz's stories of CFAR events, and the CFAR founders' hints at what went wrong. They mention cuddle puddles and a series of early figures who dropped out or were pushed out. Its not at all the vision I got ten years ago from the blogs and podcasts.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 14th June 2026

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  • Hardly anyone who matters is on twitter any more so I think many policymakers (and most retail investors) don't understand what Musk is tweeting every few minutes

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 14th June 2026

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  • Edward W. Niedermeyer, who wrote the book on how Tesla is a tax fraud and pump-and-dump disguised as a car company, will livestream the SpaceX IPO Friday https://atmo.rsvp/p/niedermeyer.online/e/3mo23aiagjs3t The real drama will be spread over at least a month.

    Remember, investing is about decades and national economies not days and individual companies. If you think the US stock market is going to become more like Russia's than France's, you can make a policy and act on it to reduce your stocks' exposure to the Mega-IPOs.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 14th June 2026

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  • Could be a LLM, could be a call-center worker in Kenya or Mumbai or Manilla. Its an old move.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • People have told me their organizations are like this with cloud spending (no curiosity about how to reduce it and measure ROI, until someone orders cuts).

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • Unfortunately with mass media and social media you just have to accept that the people who get the biggest audiences will like attention and get some of the details wrong. They are built to create stars not spread facts.

    The last few years have showed many disadvantages of the 'AGI' quest which were not widely foreseen. Those disadvantages do not depend on the technology.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • RationalWiki no longer has technical staff, just a bit of help from @davidgerard@circumstances.run. To deal with bot swarms, possibly launched by Emil Kirkegaard's gang of racists with sensitive egos, they blocked some of the scrapers which Bing and Google rely on. Since 2022 DuckDuckGo is a front-end for Bing.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • Willo2 writes:

    I supported Polymarket for years because I believed they represented crypto values.

    In fact, their platform is simply another bucketshop where if you bet too much, you're going to get cleaned.

    "I'm shocked, shocked! to find that gambling is going on in here"

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • A company has to disclose a lot of numbers backed by serious legal penalties before an IPO.

    Whenever a stock market has gone up 29% in a year and a New Era story is circulating, people with corner offices and Savile Row suite start to do stupid ****. I think that is why financiers started to bend the rules.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • Edit / the author of the article "is an economics student at George Mason University with interests in tax policy, immigration, and housing. He normally posts about politics on X and Bluesky and occasionally writes long-form articles and essays on his Substack." So he has probably taken a class with Robin Hanson.

    As a palette cleanser to the messed up people on social media and in web magazines, I recommend reading Bob Altemeyer's book on the sex lives of students at a minor Canadian university. https://www.lulu.com/shop/bob-altemeyer/sex-and-youth/paperback/product-4414777.html People who search tube sites or fill out sexuality quizzes from an influencer are not typical people any more than Wikipedia editors are.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • "EA and Rationalist policy organizations are scaling in DC"

    Just a reminder that the rationalists already own two event spaces in the Bay Area and the Effective Altruists briefly owned one in England and one in the Czech Republic as well as an institute at Oxford University. Both of their existing spaces are losing money and had to beg for it last winter.

    "This project needs a champion, but it’s a thing someone can simply choose to do" sounds very different when it means "you can actually try slacklining with the cool strangers in the park" and when it means "someone could lend us another $20 million for 20 years on easy terms." And seeing the lesson of FTX as "don't look weird" not "effective altruists are fraudsters and hypocrites" is a take.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • Jeffrey Epstein fantasized about something very similar. Gwern has a blog post about a sperm bank which promised to accept only the highest-quality donations.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • someone patiently explaining to a bunch of people who really should know better that they shouldn’t do obviously bad and wrong things.

    In March 2025, someone skeeted that "Master Sun says: do not lead your troops into land where there is nothing for them to eat" seems obvious but Pete Hegseth would not remember that his troops needed food. One year later his aircraft carriers were feeding sailors spoiled meat and had a shortage of working toilets.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 7th June 2026

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  • Major investment analysis firm Morningstar is looking for words on the SpaceX IPO and picked "We think the company has been significantly overvalued and investors will have opportunities to buy the stock at more attractive levels after the IPO" (Independent UK).

    Even something as simple as picking a Total US Stock Market index fund instead of a S&P500 fund or NASDAQ-100 fund would reduce your exposure. If you control your investments, disinvesting is not that hard.