I can believe 22 year olds talk like this, by these newer accounts he seemed very normal, likeable and intelligent.
But I also think there is a concerted effort to twist the narrative every which way, to emphasize the more extreme elements and mischaracterize the mundane elements as extreme. I don't think we will know what happened for sure, for a long time.
To me, the evaluation that he was sort of apolitical is the most baffling explanation. That he was closeted bi and in a relationship with a trans or transitioning woman carries a lot of baggage when viewed by right wing hate movements who control vast parts of the government and media. But to me and probably you, this is just sort of normal for his generation. Based on that, even if he was a groyper, we won't know until we hear it from him, which we won't until after the trial. The right is too invested in hushing that part up, as I think you're alluding to.
But I don't think we are to the point of total show trials and completely fabricated evidence at the level of a court document, which itself would have to be backed by verifiable evidence. I have no doubt that facts were being massaged to fit the rights narrative, but it appears the roommate was rightfully horrified by Robinson's actions and cooperated with police, by all verifiable accounts.
I think we need to be very careful with how we perceive news as its coming in. I'm fortunate to have many people and orgs in my life where I can have detailed, deep, probing discussions about current events, because without those people I would be a stark raving lunatic right now. The conspiracy mindset seeps into every bit of my thinking, because we know there are actual conspiracies happening! We just don't know the specific content or subject of them which leads to wild speculation.
There is a period in the news cycle that I call "fog of war" where you literally can't see what is actually happening. Its usually better for ourselves and others if we reserve final judgement for when the facts are mostly all in.